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skalie
the honourable

Registered: Sep 2001
Location: ........
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Nine votes needed from the Security Council

For war: US, UK, Spain, Bulgaria

Against: France, Russia, China, Germany, Syria

Who's left?

Angola, Mexico, Pakistan, Camaroon, Guinea and Chile.

Pakistan have indicated that they won't vote, that could mean that the pro-war boys need to get every last vote.

Now assuming that Angola, Camaroon, Guinea and maybe Chile can be bought, that could leave Mexico with the deciding vote.

Freedom beans with that gringo?

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Old Post 03-12-2003 01:09 PM
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MstrG
The Talamasca

Registered: Jul 2000
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The vote matters not.

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Old Post 03-12-2003 01:52 PM
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philjit
Arch-Enemy of Idealism

Registered: Jan 2002
Location: UK
Posts: 13002

quote:
Originally posted by MstrG
The vote matters not.


this kind of attitude is one that shows a lack understanding of the very real need for the vote to go as much in the positive as possible. This is not to say that if the vote goes negetively it cannot still be ignored. But I think you are totally missing the politics at play here MstrG.

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Old Post 03-12-2003 01:59 PM
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Smug Git
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Registered: Aug 2001
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The vote will have operational significance, though, surely (who is going to help out, that sort of stuff, bases that you can use and so on)? Rumsfeld said (then retracted) that they have plans for going in without the UK, even, so I guess that it is fair to say that the vote and indeed UK support isn't something about which they are bothered (militarily, that is obvious, but politically it says that the US will go forward even if everyone opposes it). Unless Rumsfeld just made a clumsy slip or said for it for some other purpose (maybe he fancies Cherie Blair and thinks that he has to get her husband out of a job before he can have his wicked old man's way with her).

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Old Post 03-12-2003 02:02 PM
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MstrG
The Talamasca

Registered: Jul 2000
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I'm sure Blair would like the vote to go positively to save his hide, but the vote matters not when determining what happens. Yes, if someone vetos, or the count doesn't reach nine, we're still going in. The long term effects of this mess will be affected much, much more by what happens in the war than all the wrangling beforehand. I understand the dynamics very well.

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Old Post 03-12-2003 02:03 PM
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philjit
Arch-Enemy of Idealism

Registered: Jan 2002
Location: UK
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quote:
Originally posted by MstrG
I'm sure Blair would like the vote to go positively to save his hide, but the vote matters not when determining what happens. Yes, if someone vetos, or the count doesn't reach nine, we're still going in. The long term effects of this mess will be affected much, much more by what happens in the war than all the wrangling beforehand. I understand the dynamics very well.


I truly do not think you do. Getting as positive an outcome in this second vote is not about saving Blair's arse. Personally I want him to fall, but my desire for that is based on his domestic policy and his morally patronising manner. The vote in the Security Council is important because of the need to create as much possible legitimacy as is available.

Why do you need as much legitmacy as possible? Simply put it's this. What we are suggesting will have a devasting effect on the current world order that ensures peace on a global scale with the smattering of small wars here and there. By showing that the vote matters not to you before you even do anything is sending a signal. A signal that the world has regressed to a time that existed 89 years ago. That's pretty bloody significant you know in the schemes of things, and the vote in the United Nations is paramount to ensuring that that signal is as muted as possible, because if it is not then your nation and mine shall have blood on our hands my friend, blood that far outreaches that which we feel is justified in relation to Iraq. I have heard many times during the past year or so of debate and discussion on this subject, the invocation of Neville Chamberlain and the years leading up to the World War Two. You're invoking the wrong war. The vote is very significant because 'how' this war actually starts is significant, both historically and politically for the entire world. If it's started the wrong way the consequences do not bear thinking about. You're witnessing the beginning of the real war, lets hope we manage to start it the best possible way, otherwise we're all fucked. Those are the dynamics I think you are missing.

Last edited by philjit on 03-12-2003 at 02:45 PM

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Old Post 03-12-2003 02:30 PM
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philjit
Arch-Enemy of Idealism

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I should also add, that if the UN is all about 'Saving Blair' then why is it that in every single Question and Answer session with the public that Blair has taken part in on Live Television. It is he that has specifcally requested that the audience be made up of people hostile to his position. Those are not the acts of a man that is trying to secure his position at all costs.

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Old Post 03-12-2003 03:01 PM
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buddha's penis
mourning wood

Registered: Apr 2001
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quote:
Originally posted by MstrG
The vote matters not.


hmm.
what does everybody think of that? i'm not sure how to take it, it seems so ill-timed. i have a hard time believing the bush family hasn't talked this over, so why the discrepancy?

edit: i hear a lot about british papers being shit and unreliable (from the british), so maybe that is the case here. convenient interpretation.

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Old Post 03-13-2003 02:04 AM
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Smug Git
Arrogance Personified

Registered: Aug 2001
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The Times is a Rupert Murdoch paper. The best national papers for attempting honest reporting are The Independent and The Guardian, and even the Telegraph, I would say. Reading anything owned by Murdoch is pretty much a waste of time; it is the worst example of blinkered thinking In his case, to the political right), apart from when his business interests are involved.

I said before that I can't believe that Bush Sr would deliver advice to his son publically, unless he was frustrated that his son wasn't listening, privately. I can certainly believe that Bush Sr doesn't approve of Bush Jr's efforts at diplomacy, but I can't believe that he would express it like that, unless as I say he really can't get his son to listen. But having said that, one would assume that the words that are reported are true, and in that case most of the interpretation would seem to be pretty clear. What I would suspect is that there might be other words that ameliorate those other ones significantly, that are not reported. Else I trust that the US asylumites would have heard all about it, too?

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Old Post 03-13-2003 06:42 AM
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skalie
the honourable

Registered: Sep 2001
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That link deserves it's own thread BP.

"Will the President of the United States of America listen to his daddy?"

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Old Post 03-13-2003 07:32 AM
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philjit
Arch-Enemy of Idealism

Registered: Jan 2002
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I see it is looking very likely that this vote will be pushed back until Monday. Keeping the diplomacy going to avoid a political vacuum without a doubt. Also note that Turkey is being visited this weekend by a US representative, new pro-american Prime Minister has just taken over there.

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Old Post 03-13-2003 02:15 PM
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buddha's penis
mourning wood

Registered: Apr 2001
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quote:
Originally posted by skalie
That link deserves it's own thread BP.

"Will the President of the United States of America listen to his daddy?"



yeah, i guess it does. i'll do that.

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Old Post 03-13-2003 09:13 PM
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greenleakynipples
What a cock

Registered: Dec 2001
Location: Baton Rouge
Posts: 1575

Didn't Saudi Arabia and other Arab states ties there cooperation (albeit passive) in a war against Iraq to UN authorization? That would make the vote matter quite a bit, no, to speak nothing of the remifications for Blair.

Leaky.

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Old Post 03-15-2003 11:27 AM
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